Toledo
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 88.4573Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H Duquesne 49-10 907 H UMass IND ( 2-10, 84.6) 38-23 914 A Miss St SEC ( 2-10, 85.6) 41-17 921 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8- 4, 89.7) 21-26 1005 H MiamiOH MA ( 8- 5, 90.3) 30-20 1012 A Buffalo MA ( 8- 4, 89.7) 15-30 1019 A No Illinois MA ( 7- 5, 90.1) 13- 6 1026 H Bowl. Green MA ( 7- 5, 90.0) 26-41 1102 A Ea Michigan MA ( 5- 7, 86.9) 29-28 1112 H Cen Michigan MA ( 4- 8, 86.0) 37-10 1120 H Ohio MA (10- 3, 91.4) 7-24 1126 A Akron MA ( 4- 8, 87.0) 14-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
907 H UMass 38-23 15 5 0.21
914 A Miss St 41-17 24 2 + 3.07
921 A We Kentucky 21-26 -5 -2 - -2.89
1005 H MiamiOH 30-20 10 -1 ++ 5.97
1012 A Buffalo 15-30 -15 -2 - -2.87
1019 A No Illinois 13- 6 7 -3 +++ 7.51
1026 H Bowl. Green 26-41 -15 -1 -- -4.41
1102 A Ea Michigan 29-28 1 1 0.32
1112 H Cen Michigan 37-10 27 3 1.61
1120 H Ohio 7-24 -17 -2 - -2.94
1126 A Akron 14-21 -7 1 -- -5.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1026 H Bowl. Green 26-41 -15 -1 -- -4.41 1126 A Akron 14-21 -7 1 -- -5.60 921 A We Kentucky 21-26 -5 -2 - -2.89 1012 A Buffalo 15-30 -15 -2 - -2.87 1120 H Ohio 7-24 -17 -2 - -2.94 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1019 A No Illinois 13- 6 7 -3 +++ 7.51 1005 H MiamiOH 30-20 10 -1 ++ 5.97 914 A Miss St 41-17 24 2 + 3.07 |
Toledo Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boston Col ` | |
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | NC St | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | Va Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Charlotte | Charlotte | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas | ||
| Rice | Rice | Rice | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| UAB | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Toledo | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| Jacksonv. St | Jacksonv. St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Jacksonv. St | |
| Kennesaw St | Toledo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Liberty | |
| La Tech | Toledo | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Toledo | |
| Middle Tenn | Toledo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| NM St | Toledo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| SHouston St | SHouston St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | SHouston St | |
| UTEP | Toledo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| We Kentucky | We Kentucky | We Kentucky | ||
| UMass | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UConn | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | UConn | |
| Akron | Akron | Akron | ||
| Ball St | Toledo | Toledo 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Bowl. Green | Bowl. Green | Bowl. Green | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Cen Michigan | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Ea Michigan | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Kent State | Toledo | Toledo 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| MiamiOH | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| No Illinois | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | We Michigan | |
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | Toledo | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Toledo | |
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | Oregon St | Oregon St | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Arkansas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arkansas | |
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Florida | |
| Georgia | Georgia | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Kentucky | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Missouri | |
| Miss St | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | So Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | So Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tennessee | |
| Texas | Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | App St | App St | ||
| Arkansas State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | Coastal Car | ||
| Georgia So | Georgia So | Georgia So | ||
| Georgia St | Georgia St | Georgia St | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Old Dominion | |
| So Miss | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| So Alabama | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| La-Monroe | La-Monroe | La-Monroe |
PowerWise = 21
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H UMass ( 2-10, 84.6) 38-23 -15.33 2.92 -0.91 1.10 2.22
0 A Miss St ( 2-10, 85.6) 41-17 -14.28 3.97 0.91 1.10 5.37
0 A We Kentucky ( 8- 4, 89.7) 21-26 -10.24 8.02 0.91 1.10 -10.27
0 H MiamiOH ( 8- 5, 90.3) 30-20 -9.57 8.69 -0.91 1.10 8.56
0 A Buffalo ( 8- 4, 89.7) 15-30 -10.21 8.04 0.91 1.10 -10.24
0 A No Illinois ( 7- 5, 90.1) 13- 6 -9.83 8.42 0.91 1.10 10.26
0 H Bowl. Green ( 7- 5, 90.0) 26-41 -9.94 8.31 -0.91 1.10 -11.94
0 A Ea Michigan ( 5- 7, 86.9) 29-28 -13.03 5.22 0.91 1.10 6.74
0 H Cen Michigan ( 4- 8, 86.0) 37-10 -13.92 4.33 -0.91 1.10 3.77
0 H Ohio (10- 3, 91.4) 7-24 -8.48 9.78 -0.91 1.10 -10.32
0 A Akron ( 4- 8, 87.0) 14-21 -12.95 5.31 0.91 1.10 -13.25
------
-19.09
|
winning pts = 36.9337 losing points = -56.0238
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------